ASSESSMENT OF LIVELIHOOD MODELS WITH HIGH ADAPTABILITY TO CLIMATE CHANGE FOR APPLICATION IN TRA VINH PROVINCE, VIET NAM

Abstract

Tra Vinh Province is an important agricultural production area of the Mekong Delta in Viet Nam, but its economic development is being heavily affected by climate change. In this study, a set of 14 quotas with the Delphi method were used to assess the climate change adaptability of 24 livelihood models (horticulture, animal husbandry, and aquaculture models) in Tra Vinh Province to find livelihood models with the greatest adaptability. The adaptability was calculated using relevant parameters including weighted scores, raw data points, and mean points of each model. Calculations show that two models have great adaptability (CN01 and TS14), twenty models have relatively pretty good adaptability (CN01, CN03, TS02, TS03, TS05, TS06, TS07,
TS08, TS09, TS10, TS11, TS12, TS13, TS14, TS15, TS16, TT01, TT02, TT03, TT04 and TT05), two models have average adaptability (TS04 and TS01), and no models have low adaptability. These two successful models can be applied to farmers in Tra Vinh Province but attention needs to be paid to economic issues such as capital or market. These twenty good adaptive and two average adaptability models should be improved for future applications.